Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 383.442442 436.335849 495.463267 566.751762 650.758585 747.074990 866.535163
2025-08-17 312.137212 382.795274 469.327378 584.326565 735.002603 928.316961 1199.388768
2025-08-24 266.464172 342.903179 442.255639 583.202413 781.898756 1058.070028 1482.044136
2025-08-31 231.999182 309.791195 415.675940 573.848103 810.400765 1161.680412 1744.124180
2025-09-07 209.607148 288.917764 401.269388 576.904260 853.854524 1290.770343 2069.410529
2025-09-14 187.699787 265.533541 379.485595 564.521190 869.712270 1377.028242 2340.689397
2025-09-21 172.052346 249.262974 365.788259 561.832366 899.232519 1489.014055 2681.739170
2025-09-28 153.982556 227.320856 340.704544 536.972037 886.637607 1523.731697 2881.756366
2025-10-05 147.771594 223.047391 342.803969 557.296798 955.792472 1719.852931 3459.666768
2025-10-12 143.218807 220.842822 347.802834 582.919287 1038.273952 1957.408880 4197.600146
2025-10-19 135.215566 212.164186 340.907877 586.008931 1077.522223 2113.961710 4793.608005
2025-10-26 125.097710 199.045475 325.047417 570.366913 1076.553048 2183.331214 5190.986587
2025-11-02 116.364952 187.780138 311.741997 558.685552 1083.441930 2275.063937 5689.070215
2025-11-09 112.621434 184.902134 313.255142 576.313243 1156.296172 2538.092912 6777.217109
2025-11-16 106.711306 177.658080 305.990921 575.192584 1187.084065 2704.765246 7641.382686
2025-11-23 100.352975 169.100792 295.467885 565.993104 1197.661065 2821.752233 8393.354186
2025-11-30 96.024553 163.934226 290.955641 568.998914 1237.782605 3027.734173 9551.517296
2025-12-07 90.358744 155.857352 280.069215 556.819402 1238.541262 3123.545462 10346.041803
2025-12-14 86.186603 150.320155 273.770263 554.174660 1263.183138 3295.734054 11535.264067
2025-12-21 80.114302 140.746468 258.602546 529.719861 1227.226465 3275.729603 11904.251028
2025-12-28 78.864267 140.450685 262.385213 549.713353 1313.797893 3665.070974 14343.821002
2026-01-04 78.104524 141.052384 268.064249 574.914745 1419.705335 4151.648733 17621.620663
2026-01-11 75.412534 137.594730 264.825856 577.953356 1462.732474 4434.015914 20050.754428